KB

KEY BAY CAPITAL

Market Overview

The Miami thesis is real. The corridor differentiation is where credibility lives.

This page separates verified metro-wide facts from corridor-specific underwriting. Miami still benefits from interconnection gravity, tech migration and scarce installed inventory, but only Airport West currently has a public utility disclosure tight enough to read like institutional underwriting.

Miami metro inventory

69 MW

Metro-wide installed critical IT load. This is a Miami market figure, not a corridor metric, and should not be duplicated on corridor pages.

2024-12-04Broker

Miami vacancy

16.4%

Scarcity is still the story: implied occupied load is roughly 57.7 MW against a small installed base.

2024-12-04Broker

Primary-market asking rate

$195.94 / kW / month

CBRE H2 2025 benchmark for 250-500 kW wholesale requirements. Used as the transparent base case for Miami underwriting.

2026-02-26Verified

Stabilized asset cap rates

≈ 6.0%

JLL reports average asset-level data-center cap rates holding around 6%, comparable to premium industrial and multifamily.

2025-08-22Verified

NoVA powered-site pricing

>$8M / acre

Northern Virginia and Northeast powered-site costs already exceed $183.65/SF equivalent, supporting Miami's relative entry-value argument.

2026-02-26Verified

Miami population growth

+123,471 residents

Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach ranked fourth nationally for numeric metro growth from 2023 to 2024.

2025-03-13Verified

South Florida tech-company growth

+53.6%

JLL shows South Florida tech-company count grew 53.6% from 2020 to 2023, with 62,013 tech jobs already in market.

2024-03-31Verified

Subsea cable density

15 cable systems

Equinix MI1 / NAP of the Americas remains the key Miami interconnection node, with more than 120 networks serving roughly 150 countries.

2017-05-01Verified

Corridor Deep-Dives

Three corridors, three different risk budgets

Airport West / Doral

Miami Airport West

Corridor memo

Metrobloks validated Airport West pricing in March 2025 at $77.09/SF on land while also disclosing power, zoning and flood advantages. That makes the corridor the cleanest benchmark for takeout pricing in Miami today.

Entry basis

2.75-33.89

Supported exit

$77.09 / SF

Land-trade IRR

147.3%

Stabilized YOC

8.7%

Medley / Beacon Lakes

Medley

Corridor memo

The Simi Capital takeout reset the upper end of Medley land pricing at $67.80/SF, while Beacon Lakes-adjacent land still changes hands materially below that level. That creates a real, but execution-dependent, value gap.

Entry basis

5.51-43.50

Supported exit

$67.80 / SF

Land-trade IRR

59.2%

Stabilized YOC

7.9%

Opa-Locka Airport Periphery

Opa-Locka

Corridor memo

Performance Food Group still paid $55.46/SF for a 3.53-acre industrial site in March 2025. That gives the corridor a real top-end comp, but not enough to justify pretending Opa-Locka is de-risked.

Entry basis

9.18-38.26

Supported exit

$55.46 / SF

Land-trade IRR

31.5%

Stabilized YOC

6.8%

Comp Table

Recent Miami industrial / data-center land trades

MarketAssetBuyerAcreagePriceLand basisRoleSource
Airport West
500 NW 137th Ave
2025-03-31
Metrobloks4.05$13.6M$77.09 / SFExit support
Metrobloks
2025-03-31Verified
Medley
NW 93rd St development site
2025-05-27
Simi Capital10.50$31M$67.80 / SFExit support
Traded
2025-05-27Broker
Medley / Beacon Lakes
9330 NW 112th Ave
2024-12-30
Butters + First Industrial21.35$33.5M$36.01 / SFBasis floor
Traded
2024-12-30Broker
Opa-Locka
12405 NW 38th Ave
2025-03-07
Performance Food Group3.53$8.5M$55.46 / SFBasis floor
Traded
2025-03-07Broker

Power & Pricing Context

How Miami stacks up against larger data-center markets

BenchmarkMiami read-throughCompeting market referenceWhy it matters
Installed inventory69 MW metro inventoryNorthern Virginia absorbed 1,102 MW in 2025Miami remains supply-constrained enough that a single validated project materially changes the market narrative.
Powered-site land cost$67.80-$77.09 / SF top public exit supportNoVA / Northeast powered sites > $8M / acreMiami land is expensive relative to local industrial but still below the most capacity-starved primary markets.
Utility timeline18-36 months where power is visibleVirginia large hookups can reach seven yearsMiami is not cheap, but it can still be faster than NoVA when a site has credible FPL adjacency.
Wholesale pricing base$195.94 / kW / month base caseU.S. primary-market averagePublic Miami pricing is sparse, so the model explicitly leans on national benchmarks rather than implying fake local precision.

North America Data Center Trends H2 2025

CBRE Research2026-02-26

Verified

Primary-market average asking rate increased to $195.94/kW/month. Sites with power access inside 18-36 months are highly sought after. Powered sites in Northern Virginia and the Northeast exceeded $8 million per acre.

Open source

Northern Virginia Extends Lead as Largest U.S. Data Center Market in 2025

CBRE2026-03-25

Verified

Northern Virginia recorded 1.1 GW of annual absorption in 2025 with preleasing extending into 2027.

Open source

Data Centers Face Seven-Year Wait for Dominion Power Hookups

Bloomberg2024-08-29

Broker

Dominion said large data-center hookup timelines in Virginia could stretch to as long as seven years, a useful contrast to tertiary-market power windows.

Open source